Gaúcho vs EC Avenida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 1
GAU
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GAU
1 - 1
SSR
45%
24%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
GAU
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GAU
7 - 2
CAC
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
GAU
0 - 0
GLO
20%
25%
55%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
EC Avenida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAC
1 - 3
ECA
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ECA
0 - 0
GUA
66%
19%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 0
ECA
53%
22%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ECA
2 - 1
PAS
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SSR
1 - 0
ECA
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |