Gateshead vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
KET
2 - 1
GAT
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
3 - 3
LIN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
GAT
39%
24%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 2
BRA
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 1
KID
37%
25%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 3
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 0
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
LUT
2 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
BAT
3 - 2
NEW
32%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |