Gateshead vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 2
GAT
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
GAT
4 - 1
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
GAT
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GAT
1 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GAT
2 - 0
KIN
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
IPS
2 - 2
LIN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
LIN
3 - 1
GUI
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
GUI
2 - 1
LIN
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
LIN
22%
22%
57%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |