Cup . Last 16
First-leg 2-3
Gandzasar vs West Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 2
GAN
30%
21%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
PYU
2 - 3
GAN
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
GAN
0 - 2
AVA
22%
23%
56%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2020 |
GAN
1 - 1
BAN
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
GAN
1 - 0
PYU
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 0
SHI
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JSF
1 - 3
WAR
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
8 - 0
PYU
83%
12%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
WAR
3 - 2
GAN
30%
21%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +3 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BKM
2 - 1
WAR
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |