Gambia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
54.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 3
SEN
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2001 |
MLI
0 - 1
GAM
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
CPV
1 - 1
GAM
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
GAM
1 - 1
SEN
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
SLE
1 - 1
GAM
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
GUI
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 1
MLI
71%
20%
10%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZAM
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
17%
7%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
SCG
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |