Gambia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1993 |
SEN
2 - 0
GMB
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1993 |
SLE
1 - 1
GMB
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
GMB
2 - 1
GIN
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1993 |
GMB
3 - 0
GHA
13%
24%
63%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 1993 |
GMB
2 - 4
ALB
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1993 |
SLE
2 - 0
MLI
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1993 |
MLI
0 - 0
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1993 |
MLI
3 - 0
GNQ
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
MLI
1 - 0
SEN
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
MAR
3 - 0
MLI
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |