League Cup Japan Quarter-finals
Global 7-4
Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gamba Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GAM
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 1
VIS
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JUB
0 - 2
GAM
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAG
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
GAM
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VEG
0 - 2
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
VEN
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
SAN
8%
18%
74%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAG
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |