Gama vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
GAM
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 0
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAG
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
GAM
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
DOM
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
SOB
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |