Gama vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUV
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
GAM
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2010 |
LUV
2 - 0
GAM
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
BOA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LUV
2 - 2
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAC
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
GAM
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
MAC
3 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUV
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |