Gama vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
GAM
26%
22%
51%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
GAM
2 - 0
AMF
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
BOA
2 - 1
GAM
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 2
GUA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
MIX
2 - 2
GAM
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 64 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
DOM
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 4
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
GAM
4 - 0
BDF
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | -1 |