Super Cup . Final

Galatasaray SK vs Fenerbahçe analysis

Galatasaray SK Fenerbahçe
80 ELO 82
6% Tilt -0.5%
139º General ELO ranking 141º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.5%
Galatasaray SK
23.3%
Draw
42.2%
Fenerbahçe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
Galatasaray SK
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.1%
Win probability
Fenerbahçe
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Galatasaray SK
+22%
+14%
Fenerbahçe

ELO progression

Galatasaray SK
Fenerbahçe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Galatasaray SK
Galatasaray SK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2012
GAL
Galatasaray SK
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
49%
25%
26%
80 83 3 0
01 Aug. 2012
OLI
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1 - 1
Galatasaray SK
GAL
40%
26%
34%
80 75 5 0
12 May. 2012
FEN
Fenerbahçe
0 - 0
Galatasaray SK
GAL
57%
22%
21%
80 82 2 0
06 May. 2012
GAL
Galatasaray SK
2 - 2
Beşiktaş
BJK
55%
24%
21%
80 79 1 0
02 May. 2012
GAL
Galatasaray SK
0 - 0
Trabzonspor
TRA
51%
24%
25%
80 80 0 0

Matches

Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2012
VAS
FC Vaslui
1 - 4
Fenerbahçe
FEN
36%
26%
37%
82 77 5 0
01 Aug. 2012
FEN
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
FC Vaslui
VAS
60%
22%
18%
82 78 4 0
25 Jul. 2012
FEN
Fenerbahçe
0 - 0
Wisla Kraków
WIS
62%
21%
17%
82 77 5 0
21 Jul. 2012
FEN
Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
41%
25%
34%
82 86 4 0
16 May. 2012
BUR
Bursaspor
0 - 4
Fenerbahçe
FEN
25%
23%
52%
82 76 6 0
X