GAIS vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GAIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 0
GAI
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
2 - 1
ORG
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
0 - 0
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
IKB
1 - 4
GAI
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 1
GAI
57%
25%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
IFK
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
IFK
3 - 2
VAS
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 3
IFK
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
IFK
1 - 1
ORG
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
IFK
2 - 0
JON
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |