Gafetense vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
60.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafetense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
GAF
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 1
GDA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
GAF
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 0
GAF
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 2
BEN
9%
18%
73%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANG
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
LUS
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 1
UDL
16%
23%
62%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
IDE
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 0
LUS
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |