Gafanha vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
GAF
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 0
SAO
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
GAF
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
GAF
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
GOU
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 3
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
EST
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |