Fylde vs Radcliffe Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fylde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 2
FYL
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOS
0 - 1
FYL
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 2
FYL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FYL
2 - 1
TRA
64%
20%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
OSS
0 - 0
FYL
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Radcliffe Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
RAD
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 2
WAK
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 1
LAN
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 0
RAD
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
WAR
3 - 1
RAD
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |