Barquisimeto vs Real Frontera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
7º
2º
25
1º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 40 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 38 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 34 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
49.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 27 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 24 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 19 |
14º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barquisimeto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
HFF
1 - 0
FLD
48%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
URE
0 - 3
FLD
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FLD
1 - 1
TIT
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PUE
1 - 2
FLD
19%
23%
58%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 0
FLD
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Frontera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
FRO
3 - 3
URE
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FRO
2 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TRU
2 - 1
FRO
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HFF
1 - 0
FRO
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FRO
0 - 0
PUE
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |