FK Metta vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
9º
9º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
FSM
76%
17%
8%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
AUD
3 - 1
FSM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
SUP
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
34%
26%
41%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
SUP
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
FKT
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 2
CAR
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 4
CAR
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |