Frome Town vs Tavistock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
8º
58
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frome Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAU
3 - 2
FRO
25%
21%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 3
FRO
13%
18%
70%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
FRO
3 - 0
WUN
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHO
3 - 2
FRO
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 1
LYM
87%
10%
4%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TAV
2 - 1
BIN
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
TAV
3 - 1
EXM
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SLI
2 - 4
TAV
30%
21%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
6 - 2
TAV
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TAV
3 - 1
MEL
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |