Frickley Athletic vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frickley Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 1
CLE
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FRI
0 - 1
LEE
17%
22%
62%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
FRI
33%
22%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
FRI
1 - 0
STA
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 1
FRI
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
WOR
0 - 2
NEW
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
1 - 0
NEW
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIN
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CLE
2 - 3
NEW
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 1
FRI
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |