USL Championship . Jor. 14

Fresno FC vs Rio Grande Valley analysis

Fresno FC Rio Grande Valley
52 ELO 46
0.2% Tilt -2%
38879º General ELO ranking 31838º
426º Country ELO ranking 327º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Fresno FC
21.5%
Draw
17.6%
Rio Grande Valley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Fresno FC
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.6%
Win probability
Rio Grande Valley
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fresno FC
Rio Grande Valley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fresno FC
Fresno FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2018
USA
San Antonio
2 - 1
Fresno FC
FFC
42%
26%
32%
53 51 2 0
29 Apr. 2018
ARI
Phoenix Rising
1 - 1
Fresno FC
FFC
48%
24%
27%
53 53 0 0
23 Apr. 2018
FFC
Fresno FC
0 - 0
San Antonio
USA
59%
23%
18%
53 49 4 0
19 Apr. 2018
FFC
Fresno FC
2 - 2
FC Tulsa
TUL
76%
16%
8%
53 40 13 0
08 Apr. 2018
LOU
Saint Louis
1 - 1
Fresno FC
FFC
34%
26%
40%
53 47 6 0

Matches

Rio Grande Valley
Rio Grande Valley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2018
RGV
Rio Grande Valley
0 - 0
Reno 1868
REN
29%
25%
46%
45 52 7 0
26 Apr. 2018
RGV
Rio Grande Valley
2 - 0
Orange County SC
ORA
28%
26%
46%
43 51 8 +2
19 Apr. 2018
POR
Portland Timbers II
3 - 2
Rio Grande Valley
RGV
38%
25%
37%
44 41 3 -1
15 Apr. 2018
SEA
Seattle Sounders II
3 - 2
Rio Grande Valley
RGV
36%
25%
40%
45 39 6 -1
08 Apr. 2018
COL
Colorado Springs Switchback
2 - 1
Rio Grande Valley
RGV
49%
24%
28%
46 48 2 -1
X