Frem 1886 vs Roskilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
5º
47
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 3
FRE
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
HEL
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 1
FRE
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
SKI
41%
24%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 1
ROS
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
SKI
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
THI
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 0
ROS
17%
21%
63%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |