Fréjus St-Raphaël vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 1
FRE
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 2
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
FRE
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 1
NIC
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 1
SED
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
AUX
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LES
1 - 0
CAB
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 0
BEZ
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
LHA
1 - 2
CAB
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |