Fredericia vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FYN
1 - 3
FRE
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
VES
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HBK
3 - 1
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 3
FCK
18%
24%
59%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LYN
1 - 2
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HBK
0 - 2
LYN
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AKA
0 - 2
HBK
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
HEL
3 - 2
HBK
24%
22%
55%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HBK
3 - 1
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HBK
2 - 1
BRØ
47%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |