Francana vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
BEB
51%
26%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 5
FRA
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
GDS
0 - 4
FRA
13%
16%
71%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FRA
5 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAT
56%
20%
23%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
GDS
0 - 4
MAT
15%
18%
68%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 2
BEB
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |