Francana vs Itapirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 1
COT
33%
25%
43%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SJS
5 - 2
FRA
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
TUP
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 0
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
17%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Itapirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
RIO
37%
26%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
ATI
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |