UD Fraga vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
EJE
0 - 1
FRA
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
5 - 0
UFC
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CDC
2 - 4
FRA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
FRA
3 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CDM
1 - 0
FRA
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
NUM
4 - 3
CDM
87%
9%
5%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SDT
6 - 2
NUM
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
NUM
2 - 0
GAL
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
AMI
1 - 1
NUM
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
NUM
2 - 1
ATL
77%
14%
10%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |