Fraga vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
AND
1 - 2
FRA
80%
12%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 2
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
FRA
4 - 0
ATC
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CDM
0 - 0
FRA
21%
26%
53%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
FRA
6 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
CON
2 - 1
PXD
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
CON
1 - 1
GIR
49%
24%
28%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
CON
3 - 1
SSA
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
CFP
0 - 4
CON
51%
25%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
CON
2 - 2
ATB
53%
24%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |