Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
8º
7º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 47 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 37 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 34 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 33 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 31 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 31 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 22 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 21 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 19 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 18 |
12º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
85% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 72.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 0
FMA
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CVF
0 - 3
FMA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 0
FMA
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
DUL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
3 - 2
CVF
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
5 - 2
BOB
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 3
TOR
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 0
CFC
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 1
RIC
12%
20%
68%
|
48 | 6 | 42 | -1 |