Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PSV
5 - 0
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
FEY
4 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
GNK
1 - 0
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
11%
17%
72%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |