Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
SPA
2 - 2
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
2 - 1
TWE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
91%
7%
3%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEC
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOS
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
HFC
2 - 3
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |