Fortuna Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WER
3 - 1
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
GUT
2 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
M05
1 - 1
OFC
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
VFL
1 - 2
M05
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
M05
0 - 3
TEN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
SVS
1 - 3
M05
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1999 |
M05
3 - 0
KFC
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |