Fortuna Köln vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HAL
0 - 3
KÖL
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WER
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
KÖL
1 - 0
WEH
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
KSC
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
KÖL
0 - 0
UNT
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
KSC
2 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
UNT
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
OSN
6 - 1
CHE
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 0
CZJ
47%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VFR
3 - 2
CHE
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |