Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
F95
1 - 0
MON
27%
25%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
STU
0 - 2
F95
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1996 |
F95
0 - 2
ROS
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
SCF
1 - 2
F95
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
F95
0 - 0
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
HSV
1 - 1
MSV
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1996 |
HSV
2 - 0
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
RTV
3 - 1
HSV
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
HSV
3 - 0
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
CEL
0 - 2
HSV
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |