Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TUS
0 - 1
F95
2%
9%
89%
|
71 | 23 | 48 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
F95
1 - 2
OLP
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
F95
3 - 1
RUZ
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
F95
5 - 0
HIL
85%
11%
4%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
STP
2 - 0
F95
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
TWE
1 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FEY
1 - 2
TWE
68%
19%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TWE
1 - 2
FOR
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
TWE
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |