Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
PAD
2 - 0
F95
31%
22%
47%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
F95
1 - 0
M05
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
F95
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
F95
1 - 2
SCF
28%
24%
49%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
F95
57%
21%
21%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 0
ERZ
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
ERZ
4 - 3
FCN
29%
26%
46%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SVS
2 - 2
ERZ
33%
27%
41%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ERZ
4 - 1
SGD
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
HSV
4 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |