Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
42.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
10º
15º
14º
41
5º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 66 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 64 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
9º
|
90% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
2 - 3
FOR
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
BOR
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
KÖL
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 4
HIL
42%
22%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 0
DUR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
5 - 0
DIE
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SFB
0 - 2
DIE
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DIE
0 - 1
KMA
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |