Fortuna Chemnitz vs Borea Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Chemnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SGH
1 - 0
FCH
41%
22%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCH
1 - 3
RFC
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DRE
0 - 2
FCH
51%
20%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCH
3 - 2
KMA
82%
11%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SGT
3 - 1
FCH
49%
22%
28%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Borea Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BDR
1 - 1
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
1 - 0
BDR
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BDR
5 - 3
VEG
25%
20%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
BDR
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BDR
1 - 2
RAD
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |