Oberliga NOFV-Oberliga South Round 3

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Erfurt-Nord analysis

Fortuna Chemnitz Erfurt-Nord
25 ELO 22
-0.9% Tilt -6.5%
33591º General ELO ranking 34780º
1027º Country ELO ranking 1196º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz
23.1%
Draw
21.3%
Erfurt-Nord

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Fortuna Chemnitz
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
Erfurt-Nord
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Chemnitz
-7%
-11%
Erfurt-Nord

ELO progression

Fortuna Chemnitz
Erfurt-Nord
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Chemnitz
Fortuna Chemnitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 1999
SVG
FC Grimma
4 - 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
FCH
80%
14%
6%
25 43 18 0
11 Sep. 1999
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
0 - 2
Dresden-Nord
DRE
33%
26%
41%
26 34 8 -1
29 Aug. 1999
WAC
Wacker Nordhausen
2 - 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
FCH
77%
15%
8%
26 38 12 0
15 Aug. 1999
FMW
Fortuna Magdeburg/Wolmirste
0 - 0
Fortuna Chemnitz
FCH
55%
24%
22%
26 27 1 0
07 Aug. 1999
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
4 - 1
1. SV Suhl 1906
SUH
32%
26%
41%
24 31 7 +2

Matches

Erfurt-Nord
Erfurt-Nord
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 1999
ERF
Erfurt-Nord
1 - 0
1. SV Suhl 1906
SUH
35%
26%
40%
21 28 7 0
11 Sep. 1999
FLH
FC Lausitz Hoyerswerda
2 - 1
Erfurt-Nord
ERF
75%
17%
8%
22 39 17 -1
29 Aug. 1999
ERF
Erfurt-Nord
0 - 3
VfB Leipzig II
VFL
18%
24%
58%
23 44 21 -1
14 Aug. 1999
ERF
Erfurt-Nord
1 - 2
Schott Jena
SCH
48%
24%
28%
24 25 1 -1
08 Aug. 1999
FAD
FC Anhalt Dessau
3 - 1
Erfurt-Nord
ERF
42%
26%
32%
25 21 4 -1