Fortuna 54 vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PSV
4 - 1
FOR
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FOR
1 - 4
FEY
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
VVV
0 - 0
FOR
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 1
RAP
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
MVV
3 - 1
FOR
50%
22%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
AJA
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
FFK
44%
22%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSV
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |