Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
PER
2 - 2
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
QUI
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 4
QUI
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
BUC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
TFC
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 0
LLA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |