Fortaleza EC vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
COT
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
SCI
4 - 2
FOR
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 0
VAS
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 0
BAH
43%
28%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 1
VAS
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 1
VAS
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |