Fortaleza EC vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
FOR
2 - 0
FLA
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
FOR
2 - 1
MOT
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FOR
3 - 0
FLA
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
FOR
1 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAL
31%
31%
38%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 2
NOR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
RIV
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 2
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
RIV
1 - 3
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
CEA
2 - 0
RIV
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |