Fortaleza EC vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
FOR
58%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
GOI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 1
SCI
26%
30%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
CRZ
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLU
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 2
PAL
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 0
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 2
GRE
62%
22%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |