Cearense 1 . Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Fortaleza EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 1
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
FOR
1 - 3
FER
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 1
FOR
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 1
MAR
86%
10%
4%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 0
FOR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 0
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CEA
4 - 1
ITA
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |