Fortaleza EC vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEA
23%
24%
54%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
TIR
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
HOR
2 - 1
FOR
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
IGU
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IGU
1 - 1
FLO
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
FER
37%
24%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
BOT
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
3 - 1
CEA
4%
10%
86%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +2 |