Fortaleza EC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
SPO
0 - 0
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1973 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAO
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
BAH
2 - 3
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
COR
3 - 1
BAH
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1972 |
PAL
4 - 1
BAH
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1972 |
VAS
0 - 0
BAH
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |