Fort Worth Vaqueros vs Brownsville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort Worth Vaqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
FWV
5 - 2
KAT
91%
7%
2%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MID
2 - 2
FWV
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
TYL
1 - 3
FWV
5%
11%
84%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HOU
6 - 2
FWV
42%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FWV
3 - 2
MID
28%
21%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Brownsville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BRP
1 - 6
HOU
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
REG
3 - 0
BRP
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
BRP
5 - 2
REG
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LAR
4 - 1
BRP
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
BRP
4 - 1
KAT
86%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |