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Brasiliense. Matchday 10

Formosa vs Bolamense analysis

Formosa Bolamense
28 ELO 46
-20% Tilt 13%
14808º General ELO ranking 27429º
386º Country ELO ranking 780º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Formosa
27%
Draw
48.6%
Bolamense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
Formosa
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.6%
Win probability
Bolamense
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Formosa
-18%
-36%
Bolamense

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ceilândia
25
25
100%
Gama
23
23
100%
Brasiliense
21
21
100%
Sobradinho
20
20
100%
Real Futebol Clube
18
18
50%
Paracatu
18
18
50%
Luziânia
14
14
100%
Formosa
13
13
100%
Bolamense
10
10
100%
Santa Maria
10º
8
8
10º
100%
Paranoá
11º
6
6
11º
100%
Samambaia
12º
5
5
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Formosa
Bolamense
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Formosa
FOR
Bolamense
BFC
Brasiliense
BRA
Santa Maria
SAN
Ceilândia
CEI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Formosa
Formosa
1%
X%
2%
ELO FOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2018
FOR
Formosa
2 - 2
Luziânia
LUZ
45%
27%
28%
362 409 -47 0
25 Feb. 2018
PAR
Paranoá
1 - 1
Formosa
FOR
51%
25%
23%
362 517 155 0
20 Feb. 2018
DOM
Real Futebol Clube
2 - 2
Formosa
FOR
51%
25%
23%
362 529 167 0
13 Feb. 2018
FOR
Formosa
0 - 1
Paracatu
PAR
36%
27%
37%
362 878 -516 0
08 Feb. 2018
SAM
Samambaia
0 - 1
Formosa
FOR
57%
24%
20%
361 797 436 +1

Matches

Bolamense
Bolamense
1%
X%
2%
ELO BFC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2018
BFC
Bolamense
2 - 2
Paranoá
PAR
52%
26%
22%
797 517 280 0
25 Feb. 2018
SAM
Samambaia
0 - 1
Bolamense
BFC
47%
27%
26%
797 796 -1 +1
21 Feb. 2018
BRA
Brasiliense
1 - 0
Bolamense
BFC
40%
28%
32%
800 487 -313 0
18 Feb. 2018
BFC
Bolamense
1 - 2
Ceilândia
CEI
57%
24%
20%
798 352 446 -1
15 Feb. 2018
BFC
Bolamense
0 - 2
Luziânia
LUZ
56%
24%
20%
800 406 394 -1