Formiga EC vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SOC
3 - 0
FEC
70%
18%
12%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 3
FCB
26%
22%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FCB
3 - 0
FEC
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 3
SOC
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
FEC
69%
20%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
TFC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 0
FEC
69%
20%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |