Forli vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 4
PSM
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
USD
1 - 3
MAN
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
LEN
80%
14%
5%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 5
MAN
7%
18%
75%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |